Komparasi Metode Single Moving Average dan Double Exponential Smoothing untuk Peramalan Penjualan Produk Gerabah pada UD. Amerta Sedana

One of the areas producing creative industries in Bali is Tabanan Regency which produces form pottery. In community, earthenware products are usually known objects that function as containers, for example flower vases, pots, barrels, jugs, jars and so on. Sales pottery at UD company. Amerta Sedana every month experiences erratic fluctuations. planning sales, company only estimates number sales without using scientific method a benchmark to assist determining next sales. This causes be unable maximize following fulfill consumer demand goods. solution can used do forecasting. Forecasting picture state future this very important There various types methods perform forecasting calculations. study uses comparison Single Moving Average Double Exponential Smoothing small pot 1, lion white, monkey. The results showed calculation with smallest error value was sale 1 2-month an MSE 56.1 MAD 4.942857, white 707.3214. 18.82857, monkey 247.8786 11.32857